Katwijk 3-1 ADO 20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
34%
4-5
35%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
74%
-15.0pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO 20 The Market 14%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.95/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.14
-12% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY ADO 20
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 ADO 20 ADO 20 0-1 HT 0-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
16.03.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 4-2 HT 3-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
3-1
AWAY ADO 20
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs ADO 20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk got the better of ADO 20 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Katwijk had 57% of the ball to ADO 20's 43%, shots finished 23-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Katwijk and 1.00 for ADO 20.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs ADO 20?

Katwijk 3-1 ADO 20 in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs ADO 20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 60%, draw 18%, ADO 20 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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