SV Spakenburg 1-0 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk The Market 32%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.28/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.94
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.44 xG 2.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
325 Passes 441
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 36
27 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
06.12.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 1-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
08.02.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 2-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
31.10.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-4 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOK
14.09.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
17.02.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
1-0
AWAY Katwijk
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg squeezed past Katwijk 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; SV Spakenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.83 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?

SV Spakenburg 1-0 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 41%, draw 23%, Katwijk 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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