SV Spakenburg 2-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.7pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.63/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.01 xG 2.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
400 Passes 411
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 36
37 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 1-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
08.02.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 2-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
31.10.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-4 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOK
14.09.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
17.02.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
08.02.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
2-1
AWAY Katwijk
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg nicked a narrow win over Katwijk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 51% of the ball to Katwijk's 49%, shots finished 21-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.83 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?

SV Spakenburg 2-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 45%, draw 22%, Katwijk 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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