Katwijk 2-1 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 30%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.84/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-3D-0L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.44 xG 2.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
411 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 38
32 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-4 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOK
14.09.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
17.02.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
08.02.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
2-1
AWAY SV Spakenburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk edged past SV Spakenburg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Katwijk had 47% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 53%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Katwijk and 1.25 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs SV Spakenburg?

Katwijk 2-1 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 53%, draw 22%, SV Spakenburg 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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