SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Spakenburg v Katwijk — Team-Based Signals
SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Katwijk
HOK
SV Spakenburg 2-4 Katwijk — Actual Match Statistics
Katwijk got the better of SV Spakenburg 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Katwijk made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, SV Spakenburg had 46% of the ball to Katwijk's 54%, shots finished 20-21, expected goals 2.44 to 2.42.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Spakenburg and 1.00 for Katwijk.
What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?
SV Spakenburg 2-4 Katwijk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 39%, draw 25%, Katwijk 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.