Telstar 3-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 25%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
4.96/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.74
+89% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Telstar Telstar 3-2 HT 3-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.11.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
17.03.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
26.08.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
11.02.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-2 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
22.10.2021 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
3-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.92 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
347 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar ran out comfortable winners over Helmond Sport 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Telstar had 50% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 50%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.92 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Telstar and 1.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Helmond Sport?

Telstar 3-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Telstar 48%, draw 26%, Helmond Sport 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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