Lisse 1-2 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
66%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.46
Over 2.5
57%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.4pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.0pp
66%
Away Win
84%
-18.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
25%
+17.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
75%
-17.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisse EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 90%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.94/3.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.61
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
210 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
12.0 Crosses 27.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisse
1-2
AWAY Utrecht
0.37 xG 1.48
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
205 Passes 501
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lisse vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht edged past Lisse 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lisse had 34% of the ball to Utrecht's 66%, shots finished 4-28, expected goals 0.37 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Lisse vs Utrecht?

Lisse 1-2 Utrecht in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisse vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lisse 14%, draw 20%, Utrecht 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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