USV Hercules 1-6 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
55%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
9%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
13%
+11.9pp
55%
Away Win
78%
-22.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USV Hercules EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 84%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.85/3.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.97
+135% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +58%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
13.5 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH USV Hercules vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam cruised past USV Hercules 6-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of USV Hercules vs Sparta Rotterdam?

USV Hercules 1-6 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USV Hercules vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USV Hercules 20%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 55%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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