Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 66%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.84/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.04
-29% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 4-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
13.04.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 0-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
13.02.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 5-0 HT 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-0
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis nicked a narrow win over Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rijnsburgse Boys carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 36% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 64%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 3.00 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 22%, draw 22%, Rijnsburgse Boys 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
8 Feb 2025
15:30 Katwijk vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →
16:30 GVVV vs Noordwijk Analysis →
16:30 ACV vs Jong Sparta Analysis →
16:30 HHC Hardenberg vs Scheveningen Analysis →
17:00 ADO 20 vs BVV Barendrecht Analysis →
17:15 AFC Amsterdamsche vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →