Rijnsburgse Boys 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.34
Draw
30%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
70%
-22.3pp
30%
Draw
18%
+12.9pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 16%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
5.00/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.61
+144% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 0-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
13.02.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 5-0 HT 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior Maassluis 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 1.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 48%, draw 30%, Excelsior Maassluis 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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