ACV 1-0 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 29%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.35/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.00
-31% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HT 0-0 ACV HOLTW
18.01.2025 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-1 HT 0-1 ACV HOLTW
24.08.2024 ACV 0-2 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
04.05.2024 ACV 0-0 HT 0-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
25.11.2023 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-4 HT 2-1 ACV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
1-0
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ACV vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV nicked a narrow win over Koninklijke HFC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ACV as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ACV had 67% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 33%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, ACV had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ACV and 1.00 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of ACV vs Koninklijke HFC?

ACV 1-0 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ACV 48%, draw 24%, Koninklijke HFC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACV), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ACV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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