Jong Sparta 1-4 De Treffers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
60%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
60%
Away Win
60%
+0.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.2pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY De Treffers EU Bookmakers 64%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.87/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.12
+36% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-3L
AWAY De Treffers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 De Treffers De Treffers 2-1 HT 2-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
12.04.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-2 HT 0-1 De Treffers De Treffers HOLTW
09.11.2024 De Treffers De Treffers 2-5 HT 0-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
03.02.2024 De Treffers De Treffers 2-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-4
AWAY De Treffers
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs De Treffers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Treffers cruised past Jong Sparta 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Treffers as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 50% of the ball to De Treffers's 50%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, De Treffers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 2.00 for De Treffers.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs De Treffers?

Jong Sparta 1-4 De Treffers in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs De Treffers?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Treffers win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 22%, draw 18%, De Treffers 60%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Treffers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (De Treffers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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