Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-2
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İSPK
Burgos 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Real Zaragoza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 48% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 52%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.00 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burgos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Real Zaragoza?
Burgos 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Real Zaragoza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Burgos 35%, draw 31%, Real Zaragoza 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.