Real Oviedo 1-0 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
13%
3.47
X/2
8%
11.25
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
10%
10.1
2/X
9%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.44/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.53
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
25.4 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.04.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
13.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
17.02.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
02.10.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 0-2 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
03.04.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
12.09.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-0
AWAY Cartagena
1.38 xG 0.39
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
480 Passes 156
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 5
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo squeezed past Cartagena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 71% of the ball to Cartagena's 29%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.38 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.50 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Cartagena?

Real Oviedo 1-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 45%, draw 30%, Cartagena 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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