Andratx 3-5 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.45
Over
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Andratx The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell The Market 40%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Andratx
3-5
AWAY Sabadell
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Andratx vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell beat Andratx 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Sabadell made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Andratx had 39% of the ball to Sabadell's 61%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Andratx vs Sabadell?

Andratx 3-5 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Andratx vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Andratx win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Andratx 35%, draw 32%, Sabadell 33%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Andratx) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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