CD Aguilas 4-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.44
Over
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No Pick
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
37%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera The Market 24%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +130% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
4-1
AWAY Deportiva Minera
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas cruised past Deportiva Minera 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 46% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 54%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Deportiva Minera?

CD Aguilas 4-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 44%, draw 25%, Deportiva Minera 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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