Conquense 1-0 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.45
Over
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Conquense
1-0
AWAY Illescas
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense nicked a narrow win over Illescas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Conquense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Conquense had 57% of the ball to Illescas's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Illescas?

Conquense 1-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Conquense 38%, draw 31%, Illescas 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Conquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Conquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
15 Sep 2024
12:30 Granada II vs La Union Atletico Analysis →
12:30 Eibar II vs Subiza Analysis →
13:00 Union Adarve vs Mostoles Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →