Coruxo 2-1 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.45
Over
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos The Market 30%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.19
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 3-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
16.04.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
27.11.2021 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
2-1
AWAY Bergantinos
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo edged past Bergantinos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coruxo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coruxo had 46% of the ball to Bergantinos's 54%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coruxo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coruxo and 0.00 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Bergantinos?

Coruxo 2-1 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 48%, draw 26%, Bergantinos 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coruxo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coruxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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