Izarra 1-0 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.56
Over
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II The Market 30%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.29/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 3-1 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
29.10.2023 Izarra Izarra 1-3 HT 0-1 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
1-0
AWAY Zaragoza II
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra edged past Zaragoza II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Izarra as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Izarra had 54% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zaragoza II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Izarra and 3.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Zaragoza II?

Izarra 1-0 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Izarra 46%, draw 28%, Zaragoza II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Izarra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Izarra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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