Real Aviles 1-0 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No Pick
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera The Market 22%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/1.38
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
340 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Llanera
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-0 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
12.09.2021 Llanera Llanera 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles squeezed past Llanera 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Aviles and 0.50 for Llanera.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Llanera?

Real Aviles 1-0 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 50%, draw 27%, Llanera 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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