SD Logrones 2-1 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.51
Over
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
2-1
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones edged past Arenas de Getxo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SD Logrones had 49% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 51%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Arenas de Getxo?

SD Logrones 2-1 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 46%, draw 27%, Arenas de Getxo 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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