Union Sur Yaiza 1-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

Union Sur Yaiza
1-0 HT 0-0
Navalcarnero
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Union Sur Yaiza vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Sur Yaiza v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 42%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.21
+89% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza squeezed past Navalcarnero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Union Sur Yaiza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Navalcarnero?

Union Sur Yaiza 1-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 40%, draw 28%, Navalcarnero 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✓ Under 2.5
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