Valencia II 0-1 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.62
Over
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II The Market 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
0-1
AWAY Elche II
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche II edged past Valencia II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Valencia II had 51% of the ball to Elche II's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Elche II?

Valencia II 0-1 Elche II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 43%, draw 32%, Elche II 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valencia II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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