Villanovense 0-1 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
45%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villanovense The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II The Market 42%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Villanovense vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II edged past Villanovense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Almeria II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Villanovense vs Almeria II?

Villanovense 0-1 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villanovense vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villanovense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 37%, draw 29%, Almeria II 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Villanovense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villanovense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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