Cavese 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.62
Over
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.57
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.59
6+
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino The Market 48%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Avellino
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
02.05.2021 Cavese Cavese 1-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
16.01.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
16.02.2020 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
06.11.2019 Avellino Avellino 2-1 HT 1-1 Cavese Cavese İTCK
29.09.2019 Cavese Cavese 2-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-1
AWAY Avellino
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cavese had 44% of the ball to Avellino's 56%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Cavese and 0.80 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Avellino?

Cavese 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cavese 29%, draw 29%, Avellino 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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