Triestina 1-5 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.60
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +107%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
05.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-5
AWAY Atalanta II
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II ran out comfortable winners over Triestina 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Atalanta II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Triestina had 51% of the ball to Atalanta II's 49%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Triestina and 1.50 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Atalanta II?

Triestina 1-5 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Triestina 40%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 35%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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