Ternana 3-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
3-0
AWAY Pineto
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana cruised past Pineto 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Ternana had 59% of the ball to Pineto's 41%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Pineto?

Ternana 3-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ternana 45%, draw 25%, Pineto 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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