Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
1.54/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.51
-15% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-4 HT 1-2 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.01.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.07.2021 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
0-1
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig squeezed past Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena had 50% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 50%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.67 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 47%, draw 27%, Lokomotive Leipzig 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
15 Sep 2024
14:00 FSV Zwickau vs Eilenburg Analysis →
14:00 Chemie Leipzig vs VFC Plauen Analysis →
14:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs Drochtersen / Assel Analysis →
15:00 Werder Bremen II vs Todesfelde Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Jeddeloh Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs Bremer SV Analysis →