Chemie Leipzig 1-1 VFC Plauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.41/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.46
-34% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1-1
AWAY VFC Plauen
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig and VFC Plauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chemie Leipzig at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 60% of the ball to VFC Plauen's 40%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs VFC Plauen?

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs VFC Plauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 50%, draw 25%, VFC Plauen 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chemie Leipzig), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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