FSV Zwickau 3-2 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.72
+41% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Eilenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
05.11.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-2 HT 0-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Eilenburg 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.00 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Eilenburg?

FSV Zwickau 3-2 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 50%, draw 24%, Eilenburg 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✓ Over 2.5
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