Atletico Tigre 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.4
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.12
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.11/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.15
-27% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.5 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
25.09.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
02.02.2019 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
07.04.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.03.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
20.09.2015 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-1
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.63 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
393 Passes 221
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre and Gimnasia La Plata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 60% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 40%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.63 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Atletico Tigre 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 39%, draw 27%, Gimnasia La Plata 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Tigre), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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