Estudiantes 1-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.2
X/1
11%
3.62
X/2
11%
9.18
X/X
16%
3.72
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
10%
8.66
2/X
7%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.53/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.22
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 68%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
24.3 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Platense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 Passes 262
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-2 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
19.10.2023 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
28.04.2023 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-2 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
04.09.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
25.09.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
04.05.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Platense
1.10 xG 0.44
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
361 Passes 121
76% Pass Accuracy 52%
20 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Platense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 67% of the ball to Platense's 33%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.10 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Platense.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Platense?

Estudiantes 1-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 41%, draw 32%, Platense 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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