Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Belgrano Cordoba
1-1 HT 0-0
Independiente
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Belgrano Cordoba vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
16%
8.1
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
9%
5.4
X/2
13%
5.06
X/X
16%
2.96
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.24
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
34%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.7pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belgrano Cordoba v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +28%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.98
+43% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Belgrano Cordoba vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Independiente
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 3.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
197 Passes 345
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2023 Independiente Independiente 2-0 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.11.2018 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
05.11.2017 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
28.08.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.02.2016 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
20.11.2015 Independiente Independiente 4-1 HT 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ

Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
AWAY Independiente
1.44 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
323 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba and Independiente shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 52% of the ball to Independiente's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.44 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.67 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Independiente?

Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 33%, draw 32%, Independiente 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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