CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-4 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 54%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.18
+56% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
15.07.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-2 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
14.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-4
AWAY Levski Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 54% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 46%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-4 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 23%, draw 31%, Levski Sofia 45%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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