Levski Krumovgrad 0-3 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.18
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
45%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
12%
+16.1pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
45%
Away Win
68%
-23.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 72%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.66/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.47
+136% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +63%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
05.11.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
14.07.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 3-1 HT 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0-3
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over Levski Krumovgrad 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 40% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 60%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 1.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Levski Krumovgrad 0-3 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 28%, draw 28%, Ludogorets Razgrad 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
15 Sep 2024
17:00 Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali Analysis →
19:15 CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Levski Sofia Analysis →