Skive IK 4-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.4pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.77/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/2.78
-12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nykobing
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 2-3 HT 1-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
07.10.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
12.06.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 3-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
01.03.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 4-2 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
28.09.2019 Skive IK Skive IK 3-3 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skive IK
4-0
AWAY Nykobing
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK cruised past Nykobing 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Skive IK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Skive IK had 54% of the ball to Nykobing's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Skive IK and 2.60 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Nykobing?

Skive IK 4-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 58%, draw 28%, Nykobing 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skive IK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Skive IK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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