Thisted 0-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

Thisted
0-2
Aarhus Fremad
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
6%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
58%
Away Win
58%
+0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Aarhus Fremad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.81/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.29
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 1-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
10.06.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
22.04.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
05.11.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
07.08.2022 Thisted Thisted 0-4 HT 0-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad beat Thisted 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Thisted and 2.67 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad?

Thisted 0-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Thisted 20%, draw 23%, Aarhus Fremad 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ BTTS No
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