Brondby 2-0 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Sep 2024

Brondby
2-0 HT 1-0
SonderjyskE
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Brondby vs SonderjyskE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.41
2-3 Goals
40%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.3
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
9%
18.65
X/X
7%
8.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.55
2/2
7%
12.85
2/X
10%
19.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brondby v SonderjyskE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.78/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.24
+8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.9 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brondby vs SonderjyskE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SonderjyskE
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.10
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
508 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.02.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
19.09.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
13.12.2020 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
18.10.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
02.06.2020 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
30.10.2019 Brondby Brondby 0-1 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK

Brondby 2-0 SonderjyskE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
2-0
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.92 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
561 Passes 365
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brondby vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby saw off SonderjyskE 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brondby had 59% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 41%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.92 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brondby and 0.83 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Brondby vs SonderjyskE?

Brondby 2-0 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brondby 56%, draw 22%, SonderjyskE 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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