Vejle 0-5 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Sep 2024

Vejle
0-5 HT 0-1
Viborg
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.89
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
17%
7.25
X/2
8%
4.78
X/X
19%
5.19
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.72
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.17/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.04
+9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.9 Crosses 21.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Viborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
07.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
29.10.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
09.05.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
11.04.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
0-5
AWAY Viborg
0.91 xG 3.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 2
307 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg cruised past Vejle 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Viborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vejle had 44% of the ball to Viborg's 56%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 0.91 to 3.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vejle and 1.50 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Viborg?

Vejle 0-5 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vejle 32%, draw 30%, Viborg 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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