AGF Aarhus 1-1 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.05
X/2
11%
9.82
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.46
2/X
8%
15.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.61
-3% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
23.3 Crosses 11.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
410 Passes 488
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
09.05.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
01.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
10.03.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
26.02.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1-1
AWAY Silkeborg IF
0.90 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
561 Passes 348
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus and Silkeborg IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 60% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 40%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.90 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.17 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

AGF Aarhus 1-1 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 48%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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