AGF Aarhus 0-1 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.8
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
13%
6.53
X/X
9%
4.29
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.27
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.60/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.56
+14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.1 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
410 Passes 488
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
01.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
10.03.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
26.02.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
11.09.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
0-1
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.75 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
548 Passes 454
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF nicked a narrow win over AGF Aarhus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 54% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.75 to 1.16 — on chances, AGF Aarhus could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.17 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

AGF Aarhus 0-1 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 43%, draw 26%, Silkeborg IF 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
16 May 2024
19:00 Hvidovre vs Odense Analysis →
21:00 Kopenhag vs Midtjylland Analysis →