Hvidovre 1-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.82
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.07
X/2
9%
5.25
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
26%
3.14
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.35
Value flag · 2/X at 13.35 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.81/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.58
-18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
25.0 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Odense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
360 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 40
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
12.11.2023 Odense Odense 0-2 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
27.08.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-5 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-2
AWAY Odense
1.51 xG 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
386 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense squeezed past Hvidovre 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Odense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 58% of the ball to Odense's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.51 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hvidovre and 2.00 for Odense.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Odense?

Hvidovre 1-2 Odense in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 30%, draw 27%, Odense 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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