JJK Jyvaskyla 1-0 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.74
2-3 Goals
43%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JJK Jyvaskyla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
20.08.2024 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
09.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-1 HT 0-0 JJK Jyvaskyla JJK Jyvaskyla FİN2
POST-MATCH JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JJK Jyvaskyla nicked a narrow win over KuPS Ak. 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Ak. at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KuPS Ak. led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JJK Jyvaskyla and 1.50 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

JJK Jyvaskyla 1-0 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 36%, draw 21%, KuPS Ak. 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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