Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.46
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
9%
5.9
X/X
18%
4.44
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.11
2/X
4%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.15/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.49
+62% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.3 Crosses 24.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
467 Passes 267
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
16.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
13.03.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Incheon United
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
347 Passes 463
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu saw off Incheon United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 45% of the ball to Incheon United's 55%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.83 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 39%, draw 28%, Incheon United 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ BTTS Yes
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