Samtredia vs Samgurali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samtredia v Samgurali — Team-Based Signals
Samtredia vs Samgurali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Samgurali
GUR
0-3
HT 0-2
Samtredia
GUR
0-2
HT 0-0
Samgurali
GUR
2-1
HT 0-0
Samtredia
GUR
Samtredia 2-2 Samgurali — Actual Match Statistics
Samtredia and Samgurali shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Samgurali at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Samtredia had 49% of the ball to Samgurali's 51%, shots finished 13-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samtredia and 1.83 for Samgurali.
What was the final score of Samtredia vs Samgurali?
Samtredia 2-2 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Samgurali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 30%, draw 28%, Samgurali 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.