Metta / LU Riga 1-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
21.9 Crosses 24.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.06.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-5 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
06.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-2 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
16.03.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
02.09.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
26.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
16.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-2
AWAY Liepaja
1.23 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
402 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja edged past Metta / LU Riga 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 54% of the ball to Liepaja's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.23 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.00 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja?

Metta / LU Riga 1-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 28%, draw 24%, Liepaja 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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