Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.59/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.38
-35% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
01.10.2023 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-1
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers squeezed past Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Sliema Wanderers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 46% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.00 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 31%, draw 33%, Sliema Wanderers 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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