Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mosta v Hamrun Spartans — Team-Based Signals
Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
1-2
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
2-1
HT 1-0
Mosta
MLTP
2-1
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
Mosta 1-0 Hamrun Spartans — Actual Match Statistics
Mosta edged past Hamrun Spartans 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamrun Spartans at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Mosta had 39% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 61%, shots finished 5-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Mosta and 2.20 for Hamrun Spartans.
What was the final score of Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Mosta 1-0 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mosta 19%, draw 26%, Hamrun Spartans 56%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) went the other way.