Diriangen 1-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.97
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.05.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
18.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
30.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
28.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
1-0
AWAY Real Esteli
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen squeezed past Real Esteli 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Diriangen had 48% of the ball to Real Esteli's 52%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diriangen and 0.50 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Diriangen 1-0 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 43%, draw 28%, Real Esteli 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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