Managua 0-3 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.70
+41% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
19.02.2024 Managua Managua 3-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.10.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.08.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
20.04.2023 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa swept aside Managua 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Managua at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Managua and 1.83 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Jalapa?

Managua 0-3 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Managua 44%, draw 29%, Jalapa 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Managua), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
15 Sep 2024
03:30 Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa Analysis →
05:00 Diriangen vs Real Esteli Analysis →